{"id":239855,"date":"2024-07-07T10:14:09","date_gmt":"2024-07-07T02:14:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/gonglue\/239855.html"},"modified":"2024-07-07T10:26:41","modified_gmt":"2024-07-07T02:26:41","slug":"%e9%99%88%e4%bc%9f-%e5%90%b4%e6%99%93%e5%88%9a%ef%bc%9a%e6%88%bf%e4%bb%b7%e4%b8%8a%e6%b6%a8%e4%b8%8e%e5%9f%8e%e9%95%87%e5%b1%85%e6%b0%91%e5%af%b9%e5%9c%b0%e6%96%b9%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%9a%84%e6%94%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/gonglue\/239855.html","title":{"rendered":"\u9648\u4f1f \u5434\u6653\u521a\uff1a\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e0e\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"8634663cffc87af5fbf1c87a14c88f92.jpg\"<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u3010\u5185\u5bb9\u63d0\u8981\u3011 \u672c\u6587\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u6539\u9769\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5173\u7cfb\u5230\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u53c8\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5207\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u82e5\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bfc\u81f4\u5c45\u6c11\u5229\u76ca\u53d7\u635f\uff0c\u5219\u4eba\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e88\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u201d\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u6837\u672c\u56db\u671f\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u6bd4\u6ca1\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u7ed9\u4e88\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u76f8\u5bf9\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u4f46\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\uff0c\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u90fd\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u5e74\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u7ed9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u7ee9\u6548\u8bc4\u4ef7\u9020\u6210\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u3010\u5173\u952e\u8bcd\u3011 \u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c,\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743,\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c,\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7,\u5408\u6cd5\u6027<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e00\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u95ee\u9898<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u6cbb\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u7531\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u9010\u6e10\u8f6c\u5411\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee9\u6548\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff08\u8d75\u9f0e\u65b0\uff0c2012\uff1b\u6768\u5b8f\u661f\u3001\u8d75\u9f0e\u65b0\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u7ee7\u5728\u571f\u5730\u3001\u8d22\u7a0e\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u7b49\u5c42\u9762\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5236\u5ea6\u6539\u9769\u4e0e\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff08Gilley\uff0c 2008\uff1b\u5218\u957f\u559c\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff1bYang & Zhao\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u592f\u5b9e\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u652f\u6301\u548c\u4fe1\u8d56\uff08Wang\uff0c 2005\uff1bYang & Tang\uff0c 2010\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee9\u6548\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u5f3a\u8c03\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u653f\u7ee9\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u8003\u6838\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e0a\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u4e0b\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u63d0\u62d4\u3001\u91cd\u7528\u3001\u5347\u8fc1\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53c2\u7167\u6307\u6807\uff08\u66fe\u660e\u3001\u4efb\u660c\u88d5\uff0c2012\uff1b\u9648\u5bb6\u559c\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u6838\u5c06\u5404\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u7eb3\u5165\u664b\u5347\u9526\u6807\u8d5b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6fc0\u52b1\u5b98\u5458\u79ef\u6781\u53d1\u5c55\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u9020\u5c31\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u957f\u8fbe\u4e09\u5341\u4f59\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff08\u5468\u9ece\u5b89\uff0c2007\uff1b\u5e9e\u4fdd\u5e86\u3001\u738b\u5927\u4e2d\uff0c2024\uff1b\u803f\u66d9\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u91cd\u89c6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u6838\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u8bf8\u591a\u5f0a\u7aef\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u76ca\u800c\u5ffd\u89c6\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u957f\u8fdc\u5229\u76ca\uff1b\u518d\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5e38\u5e38\u7d27\u76ef\u4e0a\u7ea7\u7684\u8003\u6838\u6307\u6807\u5374\u5ffd\u7565\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u548c\u611f\u53d7\uff08\u9648\u7ae0\u9f99\uff0c2009\uff1b\u5218\u745e\u660e\u3001\u91d1\u7530\u6797\uff0c2024\uff1b\u4e8e\u6587\u8d85\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff1b\u5468\u9ece\u5b89\uff0c2008\uff1a311-314\uff09\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u77ed\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6216\u8d22\u653f\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u8ffd\u9010\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u6c11\u4f17\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e0d\u4ec5\u96be\u4ee5\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u4e0a\u7ea7\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u6838\u6307\u6807\u4e2d\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u5e38\u5e38\u88ab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u6240\u63a9\u76d6\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u6709\u5b66\u8005\u547c\u5401\u5e94\u8be5\u5c06\u4eba\u6c11\u7fa4\u4f17\u7684\u516c\u8ba4\u548c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u7eb3\u5165\u5730\u65b9\u9886\u5bfc\u5e72\u90e8\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6807\u51c6\uff08\u5ed6\u9f99\u8f89\uff0c2009\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u540c\u5404\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u6838\u7684\u5404\u9879\u5ba2\u89c2\u653f\u7ee9\u6307\u6807\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5219\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e3b\u89c2\u6027\u7279\u5f81\uff08\u95f0\u4e19\u91d1\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff08Zhao\uff0c 2009\uff1b\u8303\u67cf\u4e43\u3001\u91d1\u6d01\uff0c2024\uff1b\u67f3\u5efa\u5764\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u57fa\u4e8e\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u53ca\u611f\u53d7\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4ec5\u4ec5\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u5b98\u65b9\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u8bc4\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u6307\u6807\u4e0a\u3002\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u6539\u5584\u7b49\u66f4\u4f18\u751f\u6d3b\u4f53\u9a8c\u66f4\u52a0\u80fd\u591f\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff08\u5468\u957f\u57ce\u3001\u5f90\u9e4f\uff0c2024\uff09\uff1b\u906d\u53d7\u8fc7\u4e0d\u826f\u751f\u6d3b\u5883\u9047\u7684\u4eba\u5219\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e\uff08\u738b\u6653\u83b9\u3001\u7f57\u6559\u8bb2\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u95ee\u9898\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ca\u6c11\u751f\u8bae\u9898\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5173\u4e4e\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8fd8\u5173\u7cfb\u5230\u5c45\u6c11\u5207\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u300220\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u6539\u9769\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u8bf8\u591a\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u6761\u4ef6\u5f97\u5230\u6781\u5927\u7684\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u9762\u79ef\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6539\u9769\u4e4b\u521d\u6709\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u589e\u957f\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ecb\u5165\u57ce\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5c45\u4f4f\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u662f\u5426\u5f71\u54cd\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u597d\u574f\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u5730\u65b9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u679c\u88ab\u8ba4\u53ef\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u627f\u62c5\u4e86\u6c11\u610f\u8868\u8fbe\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff08\u90d1\u65b9\u8f89\u7b49\uff0c2011\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u5404\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u6838\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u663e\u5f97\u5341\u5206\u5fc5\u8981\uff08\u5218\u5251\u96c4\uff0c2008\uff1b\u5362\u6625\u5929\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff1b\u90d1\u65b9\u8f89\u3001\u5c1a\u864e\u5e732024\uff1b\u5218\u6b63\u5999\u3001\u5218\u6653\u73b2\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5219\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u9700\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5173\u5207\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u5f62\u6210\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e8c\u3001\u6587\u732e\u56de\u987e\u4e0e\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8bbe<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e00\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u201c\u653f\u7ee9\u201d\u901a\u5e38\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\uff0c\u6307\u7684\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u5c65\u884c\u804c\u80fd\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\u548c\u6548\u679c\uff08\u8d75\u6656\uff0c2010\uff1b\u7126\u957f\u6743\u3001\u7126\u7389\u5e73\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u4ee5\u5f80\u7814\u7a76\u6587\u732e\u5927\u591a\u6d89\u53ca\u5bf9\u5177\u4f53\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\u7684\u53cd\u601d\u548c\u4f18\u5316\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u5173\u6ce8\u653f\u5e9c\u81ea\u4e0a\u800c\u4e0b\u7684\u8003\u6838\u6307\u6807\uff08\u9648\u5bb6\u559c\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u611f\u53d7\uff0c\u672a\u6709\u6548\u53cd\u9988\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u7ed3\u5408\u81ea\u8eab\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u548c\u611f\u53d7\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u662f\u5426\u5e26\u6765\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u6295\u5165\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u591f\u8ba9\u81ea\u8eab\u4eab\u53d7\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\uff08Wang\uff0c 2010\uff1b\u8303\u67cf\u4e43\u3001\u91d1\u6d01\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u7efc\u5408\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u5230\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u6210\u6548\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u5982\u4e0b\u65b9\u9762\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u5f80\u5f80\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5404\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u8bc4\u4ef7\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u65f6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6210\u6548\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u53ca\u597d\u8bc4\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4e5f\u4f1a\u66f4\u9ad8\uff08Cusack\uff0c1999\uff1bWang\uff0c 2010\uff09\u3002\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5728\u9009\u4e3e\u6295\u7968\u65f6\u4ea6\u4e3b\u8981\u8003\u8651\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee9\u6548\uff0c\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5c06\u9009\u7968\u6295\u7ed9\u90a3\u4e9b\u5728\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u53d6\u5f97\u826f\u597d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u53ca\u653f\u515a\uff08Lewis-Beck & Stegmaier\uff0c 2000\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u4e5f\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u975e\u5bf9\u79f0\u7684\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5f3a\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6216\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u5f71\u54cd\u5f80\u5f80\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5f31\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff08Hetherington & Rudolph\uff0c 2008\uff09\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u6c11\u95f4\u7684\u7edf\u4e00\u8bc9\u6c42\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u4e0a\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u662f\u666e\u901a\u6c11\u4f17\uff0c\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u53ca\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u5224\u6807\u51c6\u90fd\u5c06\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9996\u4f4d\u8003\u8651\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u804c\u80fd\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u6c11\u4f17\u6c9f\u901a\u6700\u4e3a\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u4e8b\u52a1\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u63d0\u4f9b\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u65b9\u9762\u6240\u505a\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u4e3b\u89c2\u611f\u53d7\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6216\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff08Saich\uff0c 2006\uff09\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4f18\u52a3\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff08DeHoog et al.\uff0c 1990\uff1b Van Ryzin\uff0c 2007\uff09\u3002\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4ece\u5168\u80fd\u578b\u653f\u5e9c\u5411\u670d\u52a1\u578b\u653f\u5e9c\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u5df2\u5c06\u90e8\u5206\u804c\u80fd\u4ea4\u7ed9\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u804c\u80fd\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u4ecd\u7136\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u63aa\u65bd\u7ee7\u7eed\u63d0\u4f9b\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8c03\u63a7\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u517b\u8001\u7b49\u798f\u5229\u5b89\u6392\u3002\u826f\u597d\u7684\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u80fd\u591f\u589e\u5f3a\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u611f\u77e5\uff08\u8303\u67cf\u4e43\u3001\u91d1\u6d01\uff0c2024\uff09\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6ca1\u6709\u63d0\u4f9b\u5c45\u6c11\u9884\u671f\u7684\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u5219\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff08\u9ad8\u5b66\u5fb7\u3001\u7fdf\u5b66\u4f1f\uff0c2024\uff1bJames\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u627f\u8bfa\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c45\u6c11\u9884\u671f\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u65bd\u653f\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5c45\u6c11\u4ea7\u751f\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u653f\u5e9c\u65bd\u653f\u627f\u8bfa\u672a\u8fbe\u5230\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5219\u5bb9\u6613\u906d\u53d7\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u7684 \u201c\u671f\u671b\u5931\u9a8c\u7406\u8bba\u201d\uff08expectancy disconfirmation theory\uff09\u5df2\u83b7\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u8fc7\u9ad8\u7684\u671f\u671b\u4f1a\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u66f4\u96be\u4ee5\u63d0\u5347\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff08Van Ryzin\uff0c 2004; Salehi \uff06 Heydari\uff0c 2012; Morgeson\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u4f9d\u7167\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u5c42\u7ea7\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f17\u6709\u7740\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u4f53\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u5c42\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u5dee\u5e8f\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u4e4b\u4e00\uff08\u80e1\u8363\u7b49\uff0c2011\uff09\u3002\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u5176\u627f\u8bfa\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u4e3b\u4f53\u5747\u4ee5\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u5728\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u672a\u5b8c\u6210\u4e0a\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672c\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u627f\u8bfa\u65f6\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u88ab\u6c11\u4f17\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u4ea4\u51fa\u5408\u683c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u7b54\u5377\u3002\u5bf9\u56db\u5ddd\u5730\u9707\u707e\u533a\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u6297\u9707\u6551\u707e\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u671f\u671b\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u6548\u6cbb\u7406\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u707e\u540e\u91cd\u5efa\u5de5\u4f5c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff08\u5f20\u6b22\u7b49\uff0c2008\uff1b\u5c09\u5efa\u6587\u3001\u8c22\u9547\u8363\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5229\u76ca\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u3002\u5bf9\u5c45\u6c11\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u8fd8\u662f\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u5176\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u70b9\u4e3a\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u3002\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u201c\u83b7\u76ca\u8005\u201d\u5f80\u5f80\u8981\u6bd4\u201c\u5931\u610f\u8005\u201d\u6709\u7740\u66f4\u52a0\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6001\u5ea6\uff08\u5f20\u7ffc\uff0c2008\uff09\u3002\u5728\u5df2\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u5f80\u5f80\u6210\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u5c45\u6c11\u653f\u5e9c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8003\u8651\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u57ce\u4e61\u6237\u7c4d\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u5229\u76ca\u8ba4\u77e5\u903b\u8f91\u5206\u5316\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u5f71\u54cd\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff08\u674e\u57f9\u6797\u3001\u674e\u709c\uff0c2007\uff09\u3002\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u653f\u5e9c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u8bc4\u4ef7\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u53ca\u4fe1\u4efb\u611f\uff08Li & Wu\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u5bf9\u589e\u8fdb\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u5177\u6709\u79ef\u6781\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u80fd\u591f\u589e\u8fdb\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u6c34\u5e73\uff08\u674e\u9e4f\u3001\u67cf\u7ef4\u6625\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u56db\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u524d\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u5177\u4f53\u5de5\u4f5c\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5ba2\u89c2\u6807\u51c6\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u540e\u4e24\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u5219\u66f4\u6ce8\u91cd\u5c45\u6c11\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e92\u52a8\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e5f\u66f4\u4e3a\u6ce8\u91cd\u4e3b\u89c2\u611f\u53d7\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u4ee5\u4e0a\u56db\u4e2a\u5f71\u54cd\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u4e0e\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 1998\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u57ce\u9547\u4f4f\u623f\u5236\u5ea6\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u786e\u7acb\u4e86\u57ce\u9547\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u3001\u8d27\u5e01\u5316\u3001\u5546\u54c1\u5316\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u867d\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u6df1\u53d7\u653f\u5e9c\u5177\u4f53\u65bd\u653f\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5728\u664b\u5347\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u6fc0\u52b1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u53d1\u5c55\u7b56\u7565\u4ece\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u653f\u7ee9\u8f6c\u5411\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u653f\u7ee9\uff0c\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ecb\u5165\u5730\u65b9\u571f\u5730\u4e0e\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff08Han & Kung\uff0c 2024\uff09\uff0c\u4ece\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u53ef\u89c2\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u76ca\uff08\u8d75\u6276\u626c\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u83b7\u5f97\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5176\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u62db\u81f4\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u79ef\u6781\u8bc4\u4ef7\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5728\u4e8e\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7ecf\u8425\u57ce\u5e02\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5f53\u5730\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5174\u5efa\u66f4\u591a\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u4ee5\u53ca\u6539\u5584\u57ce\u5e02\u9762\u8c8c\uff08\u5de6\u7fd4\u3001\u6bb7\u9192\u6c11\uff0c2024\uff09\u300220\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u5206\u7a0e\u5236\u6539\u9769\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u571f\u5730\u4e5f\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u6765\u6e90\uff08\u5b59\u79c0\u6797\u3001\u5468\u98de\u821f\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u62e5\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5c65\u884c\u653f\u5e9c\u804c\u80fd\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u4f9b\u7ed9\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u57ce\u5e02\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u4f18\u5316\uff0c\u80fd\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u589e\u8fdb\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u505a\u51fa\u79ef\u6781\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u516c\u5171\u7269\u54c1\u5982\u6c34\u7535\u4f9b\u5e94\u548c\u9053\u8def\u5efa\u8bbe\u5f80\u5f80\u6301\u6ee1\u610f\u6001\u5ea6\uff08Saich\uff0c 2006\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u571f\u5730\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0e\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5229\u76ca\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u901a\u8fc7\u56fd\u6709\u571f\u5730\u7684\u6cd5\u5b9a\u6279\u79df\u6743\u5784\u65ad\u4e86\u571f\u5730\u4e00\u7ea7\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u571f\u5730\u62db\u62cd\u6302\u201d\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u51fa\u8ba9\u571f\u5730\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u5b9e\u73b0\u571f\u5730\u6536\u76ca\u6700\u5927\u5316\uff08\u5f20\u8389\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff1bWang & Hui\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u5728\u571f\u5730\u8fdb\u5165\u201c\u62db\u62cd\u6302\u201d\u7a0b\u5e8f\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u901a\u8fc7\u62c6\u9664\u57ce\u533a\u8001\u65e7\u4f4f\u623f\u6216\u8005\u5f81\u7528\u90ca\u533a\u519c\u4e1a\u7528\u5730\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u83b7\u5f97\u571f\u5730\uff0c\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\u62c6\u8fc1\u548c\u571f\u5730\u5f81\u7528\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u539f\u4f4f\u6c11\u6216\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u51b2\u7a81\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u571f\u5730\u6297\u4e89\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08\u738b\u4e09\u610f\u3001\u96f7\u6d2a\uff0c2009\uff1b\u6768\u5b8f\u661f\u3001\u8d75\u9f0e\u65b0\uff0c2024\uff1b\u7a0b\u6653\u6ce2\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u6c11\u4f17\u5728\u571f\u5730\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5229\u76ca\u51b2\u7a81\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5f15\u8d77\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e0d\u4fe1\u4efb\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u653f\u7ee9\u505a\u51fa\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff08Cui et al.\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u4e8c\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd0\u4f5c\u571f\u5730\u8d22\u653f\u9010\u6b65\u63a8\u5347\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\u5728\u4efb\u804c\u538b\u529b\u548c\u653f\u7ee9\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u5176\u571f\u5730\u6536\u76ca\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u7b49\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u76ca\u800c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u623f\u4ef7\uff08\u90ed\u5cf0\u3001\u80e1\u519b\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u571f\u5730\u6536\u5165\u589e\u52a0\u540e\uff0c\u4f1a\u5c06\u66f4\u591a\u8d22\u653f\u8d44\u6e90\u6295\u5165\u5230\u80fd\u8ba9\u571f\u5730\u589e\u503c\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7a0e\u6536\u589e\u957f\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e2d\uff0c\u975e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6027\u516c\u5171\u54c1\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\u53cd\u800c\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u964d\uff08\u5de6\u7fd4\u3001\u6bb7\u9192\u6c11\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u4e09\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u4f9d\u9644\u4e8e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u8150\u8d25\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u4ecb\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u65f6\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u6743\u529b\u5bfb\u79df\u60c5\u5f62\u5c42\u51fa\u4e0d\u7a77\u3002\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\u5f00\u53d1\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff0c\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5730\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\uff08Li & Mayraz\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e38\u5e38\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff08Wang\uff0c<\/p>\n

2010\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u571f\u5730\u8d22\u653f\u548c\u7ecf\u8425\u571f\u5730\u540c\u65f6\u4f1a\u5f15\u8d77\u5c45\u6c11\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u548c\u6d88\u6781\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4f1a\u76f8\u4e92\u62b5\u6d88\u3002\u82e5\u8003\u8651\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6d88\u6781\u5f71\u54cd\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4f1a\u51b2\u6de1\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u63d0\u4f9b\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e3a\u4e86\u6291\u5236\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u4eba\u4eec\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u4e0d\u826f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5168\u56fd\u5c42\u9762\u591a\u6b21\u51fa\u53f0\u4e86\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8c03\u63a7\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u81ea2004\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u59cb\u51fa\u53f0\u623f\u4ea7\u8c03\u63a7\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u6291\u5236\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u5728\u8206\u8bba\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u4e0d\u826f\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u6b64\u591a\u6b21\u51fa\u53f0\u4e86\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8c03\u63a7\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8c03\u63a7\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u6267\u884c\u8005\uff0c\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u5f80\u5f80\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u653f\u7b56\u6267\u884c\u4e0d\u529b\uff08\u9648\u5efa\u4e1c\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u52a0\u4e4b\u5728\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5dee\u5e8f\u4fe1\u4efb\u683c\u5c40\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u4fe1\u4efb\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u800c\u66f4\u4e0d\u4fe1\u4efb\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\uff08\u9ad8\u5b66\u5fb7\u3001\u7fdf\u5b66\u4f1f\uff0c2024\uff1bLi\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8c03\u63a7\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u623f\u4ef7\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u867d\u7136\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5e72\u9884\u4e0a\u53d7\u5230\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6839\u636e\u57ce\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u8fd0\u884c\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u9006\u5411\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u571f\u5730\u51fa\u8ba9\u6536\u5165\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u5f80\u5f80\u4e0d\u5229\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u4f4f\u623f\u8c03\u63a7\u7ed3\u679c\uff08\u5434\u749f\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u57ce\u5e02\u571f\u5730\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5784\u65ad\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5927\u4e2d\u57ce\u5e02\u623f\u4ef7\u52a0\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\uff08\u90b5\u65b0\u5efa\u7b49\uff0c2012\uff09\u3002\u5728\u591a\u65b9\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u4ea4\u7ec7\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e00\u8f6e\u53c8\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u8c03\u63a7\u4e2d\u6301\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u8c03\u63a7\u7ed3\u679c\u66f4\u96be\u8fbe\u5230\u6c11\u4f17\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6c11\u4f17\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8fdb\u884c\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u7ed3\u5408\u5982\u4e0a\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u5982\u4e0b\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5047\u8bbe1\uff1a\u968f\u7740\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5c06\u53d8\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e09\uff09\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5229\u76ca\u4e0e\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u57fa\u4e8e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u8fd8\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5728\u591a\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5207\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u635f\u5bb3\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u9700\u6c42\u662f\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5c45\u4f4f\u652f\u51fa\u662f\u5f53\u524d\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u9879\u3002\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c2024\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u5c45\u4f4f\u652f\u51fa\u5360\u4eba\u5747\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8fbe\u523022.16%\uff0c\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u98df\u54c1\u70df\u9152\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\uff08\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff0c2024\uff1a165\uff09\u3002\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5c45\u4f4f\u652f\u51fa\u4e5f\u76f8\u5e94\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u8d2d\u623f\u6210\u672c\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e5f\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u79df\u623f\u6210\u672c\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff08\u6731\u56fd\u949f\u3001\u989c\u8272\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u6709\u5b66\u8005\u57fa\u4e8e\u897f\u65b9\u6587\u732e\u7684\u201c\u4f4f\u623f\u8d22\u5bcc\u6548\u5e94\u201d\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4f4f\u623f\u8d22\u5bcc\u7684\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u4f1a\u523a\u6fc0\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u4f11\u95f2\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u8212\u9002\u5ea6\u548c\u5e78\u798f\u611f\uff08\u674e\u6d9b\u7b49\uff0c2011\uff1b\u675c\u8389\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff1b\u5b59\u4f1f\u589e\u3001\u90d1\u601d\u9f50\uff0c2024\uff1b\u5f20\u6d69\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6d88\u8d39\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u8457\u7684\u8d1f\u8d22\u5bcc\u6548\u5e94\uff08\u80e1\u9896\u4e4b\u3001\u8881\u5b87\u83f2\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u6709\u8d2d\u623f\u52a8\u673a\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u6216\u8005\u5904\u4e8e\u507f\u8fd8\u4f4f\u623f\u8d37\u6b3e\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6d88\u8d39\u88ab\u6324\u51fa\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u5b58\u5728\u6291\u5236\u4f5c\u7528\uff08\u9648\u5065\u7b49\uff0c2012\uff1b\u674e\u6c5f\u4e00\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u9ad8\u623f\u4ef7\u5bf9\u5c45\u6c11\u50a8\u84c4\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u626d\u66f2\u4f5c\u7528\u4f7f\u5f97\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u798f\u5229\u6c34\u5e73\u666e\u904d\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4e2d\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u9636\u5c42\u798f\u5229\u53d7\u635f\u6700\u591a\uff08\u9648\u5f66\u658c\u3001\u90b1\u54f2\u5723\uff0c2011\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9762\u5bf9\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5185\u90e8\u57fa\u4e8e\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u8fd8\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u5316\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u548c\u672a\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5229\u76ca\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5176\u6240\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e5f\u5373\u4f4f\u623f\u8d22\u5bcc\u5c06\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u53d7\u76ca\u8005\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5f53\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5219\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5c45\u4f4f\u538b\u529b\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u6210\u672c\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u610f\u5473\u7740\u65e0\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u4eca\u540e\u5c06\u4f1a\u9700\u8981\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5f80\u5f80\u5e26\u52a8\u4f4f\u623f\u79df\u91d1\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5c45\u4f4f\u652f\u51fa\u3002\u674e\u5fe0\u8def\u548c\u5434\u6653\u521a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7814\u7a76\u63ed\u793a\uff0c\u80fd\u5426\u4ece\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u83b7\u76ca\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u4eec\u653f\u6cbb\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\uff08Li & Wu\uff0c 2024\uff09\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u5e73\u611f\u65b9\u9762\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f17\u5728\u8bc4\u4ef7\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u65f6\u53d1\u6325\u7740\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff08\u7530\u4e30\u3001\u5b59\u6b63\u6615\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u8d22\u5bcc\u5dee\u5f02\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u5e73\u611f\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u65e0\u4f4f\u623f\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u4e4b\u95f4\u5728\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u5316\u53c8\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0d\u540c\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u6545\u800c\u6211\u4eec\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u51fa\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5047\u8bbe2\uff1a\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5f71\u54cd\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4f1a\u56e0\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4e0d\u540c\u800c\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u800c\u6b63\u5411\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\uff1b \u6ca1\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u5219\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u800c\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7ed9\u4e88\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u672c\u6587\u4f59\u4e0b\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5c06\u5229\u7528\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u201d\uff08China Family Panel Studies\uff0c CFPS\uff09\u7684\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u68c0\u9a8c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e09\u3001\u6570\u636e\u3001\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u6a21\u578b<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e00\uff09\u6570\u636e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u672c\u6587\u4f7f\u7528CFPS\u56db\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5305\u62ec2010\u5e74\u57fa\u7ebf\u8c03\u67e5\u548c2012\u5e74\u30012024\u5e74\u4ee5\u53ca2024\u5e74\u4e09\u8f6e\u8ddf\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u30022010\u5e74\u7684CFPS\u7684\u57fa\u7ebf\u8c03\u67e5\u9996\u5148\u5728\u5168\u56fd\u62bd\u53d6\u4e86162\u4e2a\u533a\u53bf\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u6839\u636e\u5185\u9690\u5206\u5c42\uff08implicit stratification\uff09\u548c\u4e0e\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff08probability proportional to size, PPS\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u5c42\u62bd\u6837\uff0c\u968f\u673a\u62bd\u53d6\u4e86649\u4e2a\u5c45\u6751\u59d4\uff0c\u518d\u4ece\u5c45\u6751\u59d4\u4e2d\u62bd\u53d619986\u6237\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6237\u5bb6\u5ead\u4e2d\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u5bb6\u5ead\u6210\u5458\u8fdb\u884c\u8bbf\u95ee\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0cCFPS\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u5168\u56fd95%\u4eba\u53e3\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u7684\u57fa\u7ebf\u6837\u672c\uff0c\u5305\u62ec14960\u6237\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c33600\u4f4d\u6210\u4eba\uff0c8990\u4f4d\u5c11\u513f\u6837\u672c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u5c42\u9762\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5e94\u7b54\u7387\u5747\u8d85\u8fc781%\uff08\u8c22\u5b87\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u57282012\u5e74\u30012024\u5e74\u4ee5\u53ca2024\u5e74\u7684\u540e\u7eed\u4e09\u8f6e\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0cCFPS\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8bbf\u95ee\u4e862010\u5e74\u57fa\u7ebf\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u57fa\u56e0\u5bb6\u5ead\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u8fd8\u5bf9\u65b0\u52a0\u5165\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u6210\u5458\u8fdb\u884c\u8bbf\u95ee\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8de8\u533a\u53bf\u8fc1\u79fb\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u6837\u672c\uff0cCFPS\u4e5f\u901a\u8fc7\u9762\u8bbf\u3001\u7535\u8bdd\u8bbf\u95ee\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u6210\u5458\u4ee3\u4e3a\u8bbf\u95ee\u7b49\u591a\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u8ddf\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u4e3a\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u6545\u800c\u5c06\u6837\u672c\u9650\u5236\u4e3a\u5c45\u4f4f\u57282010\u5e74\u57fa\u7ebf\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d162\u4e2a\u533a\u53bf\u7684\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5254\u9664\u4e0d\u6ee120\u4e2a\u57ce\u9547\u5bb6\u5ead\u6837\u672c\u7684\u533a\u53bf\uff0c\u5e76\u9650\u5b9a\u5206\u6790\u53d8\u91cf\u4e3a\u975e\u7f3a\u5931\u503c\u540e\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u6709\u6548\u89c2\u5bdf\u6837\u672c\u4e3a41645\u4eba\u6b21\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d2010\u5e74\u30012012\u5e74\u30012024\u5e74\u30012024\u5e74\u6837\u672c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a12574\u4eba\u300111031\u4eba\u30019294\u4eba\u30018746\u4eba\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u6784\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 CFPS\u5305\u62ec\u5c45\u6751\u95ee\u5377\u2460\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u95ee\u5377\u548c\u6210\u4eba\u95ee\u5377\u7b49\u591a\u5957\u95ee\u5377\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5bb6\u5ead\u95ee\u5377\u8be2\u95ee\u4e86\u5bb6\u5ead\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u4f4f\u623f\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u6536\u5165\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bb6\u5ead\u8d22\u5bcc\u7b49\u5bb6\u5ead\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u6210\u4eba\u95ee\u5377\u5305\u62ec\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u804c\u4e1a\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u6001\u5ea6\u4ee5\u53ca\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7b49\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u8981\u5c06\u5404\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u95ee\u5377\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6210\u4eba\u95ee\u5377\u6570\u636e\u5408\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\u3002\u5728\u5bf9\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f7f\u7528\u4e862010\u5e74\u548c2024\u5e74\u7684\u5c45\u6751\u95ee\u5377\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u53d8\u91cf<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u672c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u88ab\u754c\u5b9a\u4e3a\u53bf\u3001\u53bf\u7ea7\u5e02\u548c\u57ce\u5e02\u4e2d\u7684\u533a\u7ea7\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7edf\u79f0\u201c\u53bf\u5e02\u201d\uff09\u653f\u5e9c\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4e2d\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u5730\u65b9\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u6700\u4e3a\u7d27\u5bc6\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u66f4\u5177\u6709\u638c\u63a7\u6743\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5177\u4f53\u843d\u5b9e\u4e0a\u7ea7\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u4ece\u4e8b\u5b9e\u9645\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u4e00\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u4e00\u7ea7\u6743\u80fd\u5b8c\u6574\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u571f\u5730\u7b49\u8d44\u6e90\u7ecf\u8425\u6743\u548c\u76f8\u5bf9\u72ec\u7acb\u6cbb\u7406\u6743\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u3002\u53bf\u5e02\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u57ce\u9547\u5316\u3001\u57ce\u4e61\u7edf\u7b79\u548c\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u6218\u7565\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u5177\u6709\u72ec\u7279\u6743\u80fd\u548c\u8fd0\u4f5c\u7a7a\u95f4\uff08\u6298\u6653\u53f6\uff0c2024\uff09\u3002\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ecb\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u627f\u62c5\u571f\u5730\u4f9b\u5e94\u3001\u4fdd\u969c\u6027\u4f4f\u623f\u5efa\u8bbe\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8c03\u63a7\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u804c\u80fd\uff0c\u4e0e\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u606f\u606f\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 CFPS\u8c03\u67e5\u8be2\u95ee\u4e86\u88ab\u8bbf\u8005\u201c\u60a8\u5bf9\u53bb\u5e74\u672c\u53bf\uff0f\u53bf\u7ea7\u5e02\uff0f\u533a\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8bc4\u4ef7\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u4f9b5\u4e2a\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u201c1\u201d\u8868\u793a\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u201c2\u201d\u8868\u793a\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u201c3\u201d\u8868\u793a\u6ca1\u6709\u591a\u5927\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u201c4\u201d\u8868\u793a\u6ca1\u6709\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u201c5\u201d\u8868\u793a\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u66f4\u7cdf\u4e86\u3002\u672c\u6587\u6570\u636e\u5904\u7406\u65f6\u8fdb\u884c\u53cd\u5411\u7f16\u7801\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u201c1\u201d\u4ee3\u8868\u6bd4\u4ee5\u524d\u66f4\u7cdf\u4e86\uff0c\u201c5\u201d\u4ee3\u8868\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u6210\u7ee9\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fde\u7eed\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8d8a\u5927\u4ee3\u8868\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bf9\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u5728\u540e\u6587\u8fd8\u5bf95\u5206\u7c7b\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u8fdb\u884c\u518d\u7f16\u7801\u751f\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8c\u5206\u865a\u62df\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5c064\u5206\u548c5\u5206\u754c\u5b9a\u4e3a\u7ed9\u4e88\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u597d\u8bc4\uff0c\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a\u201c1\u201d\uff0c\u5c061\u81f33\u5206\u754c\u5b9a\u4e3a\u7ed9\u4e88\u5dee\u8bc4\uff0c\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a\u201c0\u201d\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4f7f\u7528\u8be5\u603b\u4f53\u6027\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u7efc\u5408\u53cd\u6620\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u8bf8\u591a\u5177\u4f53\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u9ad8\u4f4e\u3002\u82e5\u8981\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8fdb\u884c\u66f4\u4e3a\u7ec6\u81f4\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5404\u9879\u5177\u4f53\u5de5\u4f5c\u6210\u7ee9\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u4f46\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u66f4\u4e3a\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u6027\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8003\u8651\u5230CFPS\u6570\u636e\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u6545\u800c\u4ec5\u4f7f\u7528\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5173\u952e\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u4e3a\u6240\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\uff08\u4e07\u5143\uff0f\u5e73\u65b9\u7c73\uff09\uff0c\u7531\u5404\u4e2a\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5bb6\u5ead\u6837\u672c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u51fa\u3002\u7531\u4e8eCFPS\u672a\u516c\u5e03\u8c03\u67e5\u6837\u672c\u6240\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u540d\u79f0\uff0c\u6545\u800c\u6ca1\u6cd5\u52a0\u8f7d\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u3002CFPS\u8be2\u95ee\u4e86\u88ab\u8bbf\u5bb6\u5ead\u5f53\u524d\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u548c\u4f4f\u623f\u9762\u79ef\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u7531\u6b64\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u8be5\u6237\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5355\u4f4d\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\uff08\u4e07\u5143\uff0f\u5e73\u65b9\u7c73\uff09\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u5c06\u6240\u6709\u5bb6\u5ead\u6837\u672c\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5355\u4f4d\u4ef7\u683c\u6c47\u603b\uff0c\u5f97\u51fa\u6837\u672c\u6240\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8be5\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u80fd\u591f\u53cd\u6620\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4f30\u8ba1\u503c\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u4ee3\u8868\u8be5\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u56db\u671f\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u591f\u63a7\u5236\u88ab\u8bbf\u8005\u56de\u7b54\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u65f6\u6240\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u504f\u8bef\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e3a\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9a8c\u8bc1\u672c\u6587\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6570\u636e\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u8fd8\u4f7f\u7528\u5c45\u6751\u95ee\u5377\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002CFPS\u57282010\u5e74\u548c2024\u5e74\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5c45\u6751\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u5728\u5c45\u6751\u95ee\u5377\u4e2d\u8be2\u95ee\u4e86\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\u8be5\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u7ba1\u8f96\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u4e0a\u6708\u4f4f\u623f\u9500\u552e\u5747\u4ef7\u3002\u88681\u540c\u65f6\u5448\u73b0\u4e86\u4f7f\u7528\u4e24\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5728\u5bb6\u6237\u5c42\u6b21\uff0c2010\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u65f6\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6837\u672c\u6237\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u663e\u8457\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff08p < 0.01\uff09\uff0c\u5747\u4ef7\u6bd4\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u5747\u4ef7\u8981\u4f4e\u7ea6520\u5143\uff1b\u57282024\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e09\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u65f6\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6837\u672c\u6237\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5374\u4e0d\u518d\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u8457\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u5c42\u6b21\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5206\u522b\u6839\u636e\u5bb6\u6237\u6837\u672c\u6570\u636e\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e86\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\uff08\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u5173\u952e\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\uff09\u548c\u6839\u636e\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u6570\u636e\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e24\u4e2a\u4ef7\u683c\u8fdb\u884ct\u68c0\u9a8c\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c2010\u5e74\u548c2024\u5e74\u4e24\u8f6e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5747\u6ca1\u6709\u663e\u8457\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u8fc7\u5bb6\u6237\u6837\u672c\u6570\u636e\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u90fd\u6bd4\u6839\u636e\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u6570\u636e\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8981\u7565\u4f4e\u3002\u4ece\u8be5\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u672a\u76f4\u63a5\u8c03\u7528\u5916\u90e8\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u8fc7\u6837\u672c\u6237\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5177\u6709\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u53d8\u91cf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u88ab\u8bbf\u8005\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u5f53\u524d\u5bb6\u5ead\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7c7b\u578b\u533a\u5206\u4e3a\u4ea7\u6743\u81ea\u6709\u4e0e\u5426\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4e3a\u81ea\u6709\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a\u201c1\u201d\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4e3a\u975e\u81ea\u6709\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a\u201c0\u201d\u3002\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u8fd8\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u5bb6\u5ead\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u5bb6\u5ead\u7eaf\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u5185\u662f\u5426\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u62c6\u8fc1\u6216\u571f\u5730\u88ab\u5f81\u7528\u7b49\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u4eba\u5747\u5bb6\u5ead\u7eaf\u6536\u5165\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7c7b\u4f3c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8eGDP\u800c\u8a00\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5bb6\u5ead\u7eaf\u6536\u5165\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u66f4\u4e3a\u76f4\u89c2\u3002\u5728\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\uff0c\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u5305\u62ec\u88ab\u8bbf\u8005\u5f53\u524d\u662f\u5426\u4e3a\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u6216\u4ece\u4e8b\u4e13\u4e1a\u6280\u672f\u578b\u804c\u4e1a\uff08\u662f = 1\uff09\u3001\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u5e74\u9650\u3001\u515a\u5458\u8eab\u4efd\u3001\u51fa\u751f\u4e16\u4ee3\u3001\u5a5a\u59fb\u72b6\u51b5\u4ee5\u53ca\u6027\u522b\u7b49\u4eba\u53e3\u7279\u5f81\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u88682\u4e2d\u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u53d8\u91cf\u5728\u5404\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u4ece\u88682\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53d8\u91cf\u63cf\u8ff0\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u77e5\uff0c\u57282010\u5e74\u81f32024\u5e74\u56db\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u5206\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4e\u8d77\u4f0f\uff0c\u57281\u81f35\u5206\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u5206\u57283.35\u81f33.68\u5206\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002\u5728\u8fd96\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5219\u7a33\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5728\u4e2a\u4eba\u6837\u672c\u5c42\u9762\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u4ece2010\u5e74\u76844330\u5143\uff0f\u5e73\u65b9\u7c73\u4e0a\u6da8\u52302024\u5e74\u76846260\u5143\uff0f\u5e73\u65b9\u7c73\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u81ea\u6709\u7387\u5219\u6bd4\u8f83\u5e73\u7a33\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u4fdd\u6301\u572885%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u62e5\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u7565\u6709\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4ece2010\u5e74\u768418.5%\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u81f32024\u5e74\u768424.1%\u3002\u5bf9\u6df7\u5408\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u548c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u589e\u5e7f\u8fea\u57fa-\u5bcc\u52d2\u68c0\u9a8c\uff08Augmented Dickey-Fuller test\uff0c<\/p>\n

ADF test\uff09\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u7ed3\u679c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e860.05\u7684\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u53d8\u91cf\u5177\u6709\u8fdb\u884c\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u9700\u8981\u5177\u5907\u7684\u5e73\u7a33\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e09\uff09\u6a21\u578b<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u53d8\u91cf\u53ef\u4ee5\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fde\u7eed\u578b\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8d8a\u5927\u8868\u660e\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002CFPS\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u56db\u671f\u8ddf\u8e2a\u7684\u6837\u672c\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8bbe\u5b9a\u88ab\u8bbf\u8005i\u5728\u65f6\u95f4t\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u5de5\u4f5c\u603b\u4f53\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4e3ayit\uff0c\u6240\u4f4f\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3ahpt\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u4e3aXit\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u5bf9yit\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u8868\u793a\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u4e0a\u5f0f\u4e2d\uff0c\u03bci\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u7684\u8bef\u5dee\u9879\uff0c\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cfXit\u4ee5\u53ca\u968f\u673a\u8bef\u5dee\u03b5it\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u82e5\u653e\u677e\u5bf9\u03bci\u7684\u5047\u5b9a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u03bci\u4f5c\u4e3a\u89c2\u6d4b\u6837\u672ci\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u865a\u62df\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6240\u6709\u672a\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0eyit\u7684\u8054\u5408\u4f5c\u7528\u5728\u6837\u672ci\u5185\u90e8\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5e38\u91cf\u653e\u5165\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u03b5it\u5219\u6307\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u89c2\u6d4b\u7684\u7eaf\u968f\u673a\u6548\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e3a\u4e86\u5f25\u8865\u5c06\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u89c6\u4e3a\u8fde\u7eed\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u5c06\u5176\u91cd\u65b0\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a\u4e8c\u5206\u865a\u62df\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u201c1\u201d\u6307\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u4e3a\u597d\u8bc4\uff08\u539f\u59cb\u5206\u6570\u4e3a4\u62165\uff09\uff0c\u201c0\u201d\u6307\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u4e3a\u5dee\u8bc4\uff08\u539f\u59cb\u5206\u6570\u4e3a1\u81f33\uff09\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u903b\u8f91\uff08logit\uff09\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5bf9\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u56db\u3001\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7ed3\u679c<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e00\uff09\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u88683\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u5c45\u6c11\u9488\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u56db\u671f\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c42\u9762\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6a21\u578b1\u4e3a\u6df7\u5408\u6837\u672c\u7684\u666e\u901a\u6700\u5c0f\u4e8c\u4e58\u6cd5\u4f30\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6a21\u578b2\u4e3a\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6a21\u578b3\u4e3a\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u903b\u8f91\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6a21\u578b4\u4e3a\u524d\u7f6e\u4e00\u671f\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6a21\u578b5\u4e3a\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8fd95\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u5747\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u5bb6\u5ead\u4f4f\u623f\u76f8\u5173\u53d8\u91cf\u4ee5\u53ca\u4eba\u53e3\u7279\u5f81\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u6a21\u578b1\u7684\u666e\u901a\u6700\u5c0f\u4e8c\u4e58\u6cd5\u6df7\u5408\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u4e2d\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u5747\u4ef7\u5bf9\u6570\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3a-0.022\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u4e860.001\u7684\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u8c03\u67e5\u8f6e\u6b21\u7b49\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u6240\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5176\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u5de5\u4f5c\u6210\u7ee9\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5206\u6570\u5c31\u8d8a\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u6a21\u578b2\u4e3a\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c42\u9762\u9057\u6f0f\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5176\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u66f4\u5177\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u3002\u6a21\u578b2\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u548c\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u968f\u673a\u6548\u5e94\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u8c6a\u65af\u66fc\uff08Hausman\uff09\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u66f4\u4f18\u3002\u6a21\u578b2\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u6570\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3a-0.159\uff0c\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u4e860.001\u7684\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u5373\u4f4f\u623f\u5747\u4ef7\u6bcf\u589e\u52a010%\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e0.0158\uff0810 \u00d7 \uff3b1.01-0.159-1\uff3d\uff09\u5206\u3002\u6a21\u578b3\u5c06\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u91cd\u65b0\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a\u662f\u5426\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u6301\u6709\u597d\u8bc4\uff0c\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u6301\u597d\u8bc4\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u6bd4\u663e\u8457\u504f\u4f4e\u3002\u6a21\u578b1\u81f3\u6a21\u578b3\u4e2d\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f17\u7ed9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u7ed9\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5e26\u6765\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u88683\u4e2d\u7b14\u8005\u8fd8\u901a\u8fc7\u6a21\u578b4\u548c\u6a21\u578b5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e24\u9879\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6ede\u540e\u6027\uff0c\u5728\u6a21\u578b4\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u524d\u7f6e\u4e00\u671f\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u4ecd\u7136\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u4e0a\u671f\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u5f71\u54cd\u5f53\u524d\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u4e0a\u671f\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5176\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u8d8a\u4f4e\u3002\u5728\u6a21\u578b5\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c06\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5bf9\u6570\u53d8\u91cf\u6362\u4e3a\u5f53\u671f\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4ee5\u53ca\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5e73\u65b9\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u6a21\u578b5\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5b58\u5728\u7740U\u578b\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u524d\u671f\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u8fc7\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u800c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5e73\u65b9\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u7cfb\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u53d1\u73b0U\u578b\u7ebf\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u6bcf\u5e73\u65b9\u7c733.609\u4e07\u5143\u5904\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u623f\u4ef7\u57283.609\u4e07\u5143\uff0f\u5e73\u65b9\u7c73\u4ee5\u5185\u65f6\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f1a\u7ed9\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u89c2\u5bdf\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u4ec5\u6709\u4e2a\u522b\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u4e8e3.6\u4e07\u5143\uff0f\u5e73\u65b9\u7c73\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u8fdb\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u62df\u5408\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5728U\u578b\u7ebf\u5de6\u4fa7\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u6a21\u578b5\u548c\u6a21\u578b2\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5c31\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u88683\u4e2d\u6a21\u578b2\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\u515a\u5458\u6bd4\u975e\u515a\u5458\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u6240\u67095\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u8fd8\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u7ecf\u5386\u8fc7\u5f81\u5730\u6216\u62c6\u8fc1\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u7ed9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u4ee5\u663e\u8457\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u90a3\u4e9b\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u5219\u7ed9\u4e88\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u6b63\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u88683\u4e2d\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u662f\u5426\u81ea\u6709\u4ee5\u53ca\u662f\u5426\u62e5\u6709\u591a\u5957\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7ed9\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u548c\u672a\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u88684\u548c\u88685\u901a\u8fc7\u589e\u52a0\u4ea4\u4e92\u9879\u548c\u5206\u7ec4\u6837\u672c\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ee7\u7eed\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u62e5\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4e0e\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u5316<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u88684\u5448\u73b0\u4e86\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u6a21\u578b1\u4e3a\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5bf9\u6570\u4e0e\u81ea\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6a21\u578b2\u4e3a\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u62e5\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u6a21\u578b3\u548c\u6a21\u578b4\u5219\u4e3a\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u903b\u8f91\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b1\u548c\u6a21\u578b2\u7684\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u5bf9\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u548c\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u968f\u673a\u6548\u5e94\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u8c6a\u65af\u66fc\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u8bc1\u5b9e\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u66f4\u4f18\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u52a0\u5165\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u4e0e\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4ea4\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u540e\uff0c\u6a21\u578b1\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u6570\u7684\u4e3b\u6548\u5e94\u663e\u8457\u4e3a\u8d1f\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u62e5\u6709\u81ea\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6240\u5c45\u533a\u53bf\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5219\u663e\u8457\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002\u6a21\u578b1\u4e2d\u81ea\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u4e3b\u6548\u5e94\u663e\u8457\u4e3a\u8d1f\uff08\u03b2 = -0.512\uff0cp<0.01\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ea4\u4e92\u6548\u5e94\u663e\u8457\u4e3a\u6b63\uff08\u03b2 = 0.068\uff0cp <0.01\uff09\u3002\u8be5\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7ed9\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5f71\u54cd\u968f\u7740\u5c45\u6c11\u5f53\u524d\u6240\u5c45\u4f4f\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u540c\u7b49\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6ca1\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e88\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u6a21\u578b2\u4e2d\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5bf9\u6570\u7684\u4e3b\u6548\u5e94\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3a\u8d1f\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\uff08p < 0.001\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u62e5\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u4f4f\u623f\u4ee5\u53ca\u62e5\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u4f4f\u623f\u548c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u6570\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u9879\u5e76\u672a\u901a\u8fc7\u663e\u8457\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5e76\u4e0d\u968f\u7740\u6c11\u4f17\u662f\u5426\u62e5\u6709\u591a\u5957\u4f4f\u623f\u800c\u5448\u73b0\u663e\u8457\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u6a21\u578b3\u548c\u6a21\u578b4\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u903b\u8f91\u6a21\u578b\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b1\u548c\u6a21\u578b2\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u57fa\u672c\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4e24\u4e2a\u4ea4\u4e92\u6548\u5e94\u5747\u672a\u901a\u8fc70.05\u7684\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0cp\u503c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u88684\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed9\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5448\u73b0\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u4ea7\u6743\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u67e5\u770b\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u5c45\u6c11\u548c\u65e0\u4f4f\u623f\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u88685\u533a\u5206\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u6837\u672c\u5e76\u5206\u522b\u8fdb\u884c\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u6a21\u578b1\u548c\u6a21\u578b2\u4e3a\u65e0\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u6837\u672c\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6a21\u578b3\u548c\u6a21\u578b4\u4e3a\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u6837\u672c\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5bf9\u4e8e\u65e0\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5176\u6240\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6bcf\u4e0a\u534710%\uff0c\u5176\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u663e\u8457\u4e0b\u964d0.0200\uff0810 \u00d7 \uff3b1.01-0.201-1\uff3d\uff09\u5206\uff08p < 0.001\uff0c\u8be6\u89c1\u88685\u6a21\u578b1\uff09\u3002\u5bf9\u6709\u623f\u5c45\u6c11\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6240\u5728\u53bf\u5e02\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6bcf\u4e0a\u534710%\uff0c\u5176\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e0.0141\uff0810 \u00d7 \uff3b1.01-0.142-1\uff3d\uff09\u5206\uff08p < 0.001\uff0c\u8be6\u89c1\u88685\u6a21\u578b3\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6a21\u578b2\u548c\u6a21\u578b4\u8865\u5145\u5206\u6790\u7684U\u578b\u5173\u7cfb\u4e5f\u4e0e\u524d\u9762\u7684\u4e3b\u6a21\u578b\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u6709\u623f\u8fd8\u662f\u65e0\u623f\uff0c\u5176\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\u65f6\uff0c\u90fd\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e88\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u66f4\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \uff08\u4e09\uff09\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5730\u533a\u5dee\u5f02<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u4f4e\u4e0e\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c34\u5e73\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6a21\u578b\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u5bb6\u5ead\u4eba\u5747\u7eaf\u6536\u5165\u53d8\u91cf\u6765\u4f53\u73b0\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u83b7\u76ca\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u5ffd\u7565\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c34\u5e73\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u4f30\u8ba1\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u7531\u4e8eCFPS\u672a\u516c\u5e03\u5177\u4f53\u53bf\u5e02\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u516c\u5e03\u4e862010\u5e74\u57fa\u7ebf\u8c03\u67e5\u65f6\u5404\u4e2a\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u6a21\u7cca\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u2461\uff0c\u6545\u800c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5728\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u63a7\u5236\u6837\u672c\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c34\u5e73\u4ee5\u53ca\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5c06CFPS\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u76842010\u5e74\u53bf\u5e02\u6a21\u7ccaGDP\u503c\u7531\u4f4e\u81f3\u9ad8\u5206\u6210\u4e09\u7ec4\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u540cGDP\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u7ec4\u5185\u68c0\u9a8c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u5426\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u6709\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u8fd8\u6309\u7167\u6837\u672c\u53bf\u5e022010\u5e74\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u6bd4\u7531\u4f4e\u81f3\u9ad8\u5206\u4e3a\u4e09\u7ec4\u3002\u5206\u7ec4\u6837\u672c\u4ecd\u7136\u4f7f\u7528\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u5f52\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u8be6\u89c1\u88686\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0d\u540cGDP\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7ed9\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u57fa\u672c\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u504f\u9ad8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u663e\u8457\u504f\u4f4e\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u4f4eGDP\u6c34\u5e73\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6bcf\u589e\u52a010%\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e0.0066\uff0810 \u00d7 \uff3b1.01-0.67-1\uff3d\uff09\u5206\uff08p < 0.05\uff0c\u6a21\u578b1\uff09\uff1b\u5728\u4e2d\u7b49GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6bcf\u589e\u52a010%\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e0.0240\uff0810 \u00d7 \uff3b1.01-0.241-1\uff3d\uff09\u5206\uff08p < 0.001\uff0c\u6a21\u578b2\uff09\uff1b\u5728\u9ad8GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3a-0.164\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u68c0\u9a8c\uff08p < 0.001\uff0c\u6a21\u578b3\uff09\u3002\u4ece\u6309\u7167\u623f\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u6bd4\u8fdb\u884c\u5730\u533a\u5206\u7ec4\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u623f\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u6bd4\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u90fd\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u4f7f\u5f97\u5c45\u6c11\u7ed9\u4e88\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8d1f\u9762\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5728\u9ad8\u623f\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u6bd4\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u6548\u5e94\u76f8\u5bf9\u66f4\u5927\u3002\u88686\u7684\u5206\u5730\u533a\u6837\u672c\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u4ee5\u53ca\u623f\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u6bd4\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7ed3\u8bba\u4ecd\u7136\u6210\u7acb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e94\u3001\u603b\u7ed3\u4e0e\u8ba8\u8bba<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u672c\u6587\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u5f71\u54cd\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u63d0\u51fa\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u968f\u7740\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u672a\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e88\u53bf\u5e02\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u4e3a\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u5177\u6709\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u7684CFPS\u56db\u671f\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u56fa\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u4ee5\u68c0\u9a8c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7814\u7a76\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u6709\u5982\u4e0b\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u964d\u4f4e\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6df1\u5ea6\u4ecb\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5728\u623f\u4ef7\u8d70\u9ad8\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u7740\u6781\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4f9d\u9760\u571f\u5730\u8d22\u653f\u5b9e\u73b0\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5f0f\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u8f83\u5927\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u5168\u5c40\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u672a\u968f\u7740\u5c45\u6c11\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u5316\u800c\u5b58\u5728\u8d28\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u8fd8\u662f\u672a\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u53bf\u5e02\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5747\u4e3a\u663e\u8457\u7684\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u672a\u62e5\u6709\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u6301\u66f4\u4e3a\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b66\u8005\u4eec\u591a\u5173\u6ce8\u571f\u5730\u8d22\u653f\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5229\u76ca\u5206\u914d\u548c\u884c\u52a8\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u6da8\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u540e\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u9c9c\u6709\u5173\u6ce8\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e4b\u540e\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u540e\u679c\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u611f\u77e5\uff0c\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u603b\u4f53\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u56ff\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b8c\u5168\u6392\u9664\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u5dee\u5f02\u5e26\u7ed9\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5047\u5b9a\u57fa\u7840\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5373\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u5176\u6240\u611f\u77e5\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u800c\u8a00\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5229\u76ca\u53d7\u635f\u6216\u53d7\u76ca\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u673a\u5236\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u5c06\u5229\u76ca\u6536\u76ca\u5f52\u56e0\u4e3a\u81ea\u8eab\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u5374\u5c06\u5229\u76ca\u53d7\u635f\u5219\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5728\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5173\u6ce8\u76846\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u7a97\u53e3\u5185\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u5448\u73b0\u7684\u662f\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u6545\u800c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u6682\u65f6\u65e0\u6cd5\u63a8\u8bba\u81f3\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u964d\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u673a\u5236\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u571f\u5730\u4f5c\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u624b\u6bb5\u8fdb\u884c\u57ce\u5e02\u5efa\u8bbe\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u8d22\u529b\u8fdb\u884c\u57ce\u5e02\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u589e\u52a0\u516c\u5171\u6027\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0\u5176\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\u5efa\u8bbe\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u6682\u65f6\u4ec5\u80fd\u5448\u73b0\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u540e\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u540e\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u65e0\u6cd5\u63ed\u793a\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u5f71\u54cd\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u4e2d\u4ecb\u6548\u5e94\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u95f4\u673a\u5236\u3002\u8981\u5f25\u8865\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7814\u7a76\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u6211\u4eec\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a8\u8fdb\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 *\u672c\u6587\u4f7f\u7528\u6570\u636e\u5168\u90e8\u6765\u81ea\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6267\u884c\u7684\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u201d\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u611f\u8c22\u9879\u76ee\u7ec4\u6388\u6743\u4f7f\u7528\u6570\u636e\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u66fe\u5728\u7b2c\u5341\u516d\u5c4a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\u5de5\u4f5c\u574a\u548c\u7b2c\u4e09\u5c4a\u91cf\u5316\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u5de5\u4f5c\u574a\u5ba3\u8bfb\u672c\u6587\uff0c\u611f\u8c22\u4e0e\u4f1a\u4e13\u5bb6\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\u4e0e\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u611f\u8c22\u533f\u540d\u8bc4\u5ba1\u4eba\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\u4e0e\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u6587\u8d23\u81ea\u8d1f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u9648\u5bb6\u559c\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u5730\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\u653f\u7ee9\u6fc0\u52b1\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u9648\u5efa\u4e1c\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4f4f\u623f\u4f9b\u6c42\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u63a7\u6709\u6548\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ba1\u7406\u300b\u7b2c9\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u9648\u5065\u7b49\uff0c2012\uff0c\u300a\u4fe1\u8d37\u7ea6\u675f\u3001\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0e\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u7387\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u9762\u677f\u95e8\u69db\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u9648\u5f66\u658c\u3001\u90b1\u54f2\u5723\uff0c2011\uff0c\u300a\u9ad8\u623f\u4ef7\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u5c45\u6c11\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u548c\u8d22\u4ea7\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c10\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u9648\u7ae0\u9f99\uff0c2009\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u7ee9\u91cf\u5316\u8003\u6838\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u4ef7\u503c\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5f53\u4ee3\u4e16\u754c\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7a0b\u6653\u6ce2\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u571f\u5730\u5f81\u6536\u4e2d\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u5931\u8861\u4e0e\u5747\u8861\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5206\u6790\u6846\u67b6\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5b66\u672f\u6708\u520a\u300b\u7b2c11\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u675c\u8389\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5347\u5bf9\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5e73\u5747\u6d88\u8d39\u503e\u5411\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e0a\u6d77\u5e02\u5165\u6237\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u8303\u67cf\u4e43\u3001\u91d1\u6d01\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5bf9\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u611f\u77e5\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u673a\u7406\u2014\u2014\u653f\u5e9c\u5f62\u8c61\u7684\u4e2d\u4ecb\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0e\u516c\u4f17\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u8c03\u8282\u6548\u5e94\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e16\u754c\u300b\u7b2c10\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u9ad8\u5b66\u5fb7\u3001\u7fdf\u5b66\u4f1f\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u5e9c\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u57ce\u4e61\u6bd4\u8f83\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c2\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u803f\u66d9\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5730\u65b9\u9886\u5bfc\u4efb\u671f\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u884c\u4e3a\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a\u5b98\u5458\u4efb\u671f\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u5b63\u520a\uff09\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u90ed\u5cf0\u3001\u80e1\u519b\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u5b98\u5458\u4efb\u671f\u3001\u653f\u7ee9\u538b\u529b\u548c\u57ce\u5e02\u623f\u4ef7\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd35\u4e2a\u5927\u4e2d\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ba1\u7406\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff0c2024\u5e74\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274  2024\u300b\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\u51fa\u7248\u793e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u80e1\u8363\u7b49\uff0c2011\uff0c\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u8d44\u672c\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u4e0e\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u80e1\u9896\u4e4b\u3001\u8881\u5b87\u83f2\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f4f\u5b85\u9500\u552e\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u5b63\u520a\uff09\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7126\u957f\u6743\u3001\u7126\u7389\u5e73\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u201c\u5927\u653f\u5e9c\u201d\u7684\u5174\u8d77\uff1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u8f6c\u578b\u2014\u2014\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5171\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\uff081980\u20142024\uff09\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5f00\u653e\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u674e\u6c5f\u4e00\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u201c\u623f\u5974\u6548\u5e94\u201d\u5bfc\u81f4\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u4f4e\u8ff7\u4e86\u5417\uff1f\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u5b63\u520a\uff09\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u674e\u57f9\u6797\u3001\u674e\u709c\uff0c2007\uff0c\u300a\u519c\u6c11\u5de5\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u8f6c\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5730\u4f4d\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u6001\u5ea6\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u674e\u9e4f\u3001\u67cf\u7ef4\u6625\uff0c 2024\uff0c\u300a\u4eba\u6c11\u83b7\u5f97\u611f\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u884c\u653f\u8bba\u575b\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u674e\u6d9b\u7b49\uff0c2011\uff0c\u300a\u4f4f\u623f\u4e0e\u5e78\u798f\uff1a\u5e78\u798f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u4f4f\u623f\u95ee\u9898\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c9 \u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5ed6\u9f99\u8f89\uff0c2009\uff0c\u300a\u4eba\u6c11\u7fa4\u4f17\u7684\u516c\u8ba4\u5e94\u6210\u4e3a\u5730\u65b9\u9886\u5bfc\u5e72\u90e8\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6807\u51c6\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b\u7b2c2\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5218\u5251\u96c4\uff0c2008\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u9526\u6807\u8d5b\u7ade\u4e89\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u516c\u5171\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u62a5\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5218\u745e\u660e\u3001\u91d1\u7530\u6797\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u6838\u3001\u4ea4\u6d41\u6548\u5e94\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u2014\u2014\u517c\u8bba\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u884c\u4e3a\u77ed\u671f\u5316\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5f53\u4ee3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5218\u957f\u559c\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u5e9c\u6295\u8d44\u9a71\u52a8\u578b\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u5206\u6790\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u4e2a\u80fd\u529b\u8bba\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u6846\u67b6\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5218\u6b63\u5999\u3001\u5218\u6653\u73b2\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u8bba\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u9886\u5bfc\u5e72\u90e8\u653f\u7ee9\u8003\u8bc4\u4e2d\u7684\u516c\u6c11\u53c2\u4e0e\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5b81\u590f\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u67f3\u5efa\u5764\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u878d\u5408\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u7684\u6237\u7c4d\u5206\u5316\u6548\u5e94\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8eCSS2011\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5362\u6625\u5929\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u5bf9\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u8bc4\u4ef7\u653f\u5e9c\u73af\u4fdd\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u5206\u6790\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8eCGSS2003 \u548cCGSS2010 \u6570\u636e\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7406\u8bba\u63a2\u7d22\u300b\u7b2c2\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5e9e\u4fdd\u5e86\u3001\u738b\u5927\u4e2d\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u5b98\u5458\u4efb\u671f\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee9\u6548\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u95f0\u4e19\u91d1\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u5185\u90e8\u4e3b\u89c2\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6709\u6548\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u5b89\u5fbd\u770185 \u4e2a\u4e61\u9547\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u516c\u5171\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u62a5\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Tony Saich\uff08\u6258\u5c3c\u00b7\u8d5b\u5947\uff09\uff0c 2006\uff0c\u300a\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u519c\u6751\u548c\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u516c\u5171\u7ba1\u7406\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\u7b2c2\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u90b5\u65b0\u5efa\u7b49\uff0c2012\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\u623f\u4ef7\u7684\u201c\u575a\u786c\u6ce1\u6cab\u201d\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u5784\u65ad\u6027\u571f\u5730\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c12\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5b59\u4f1f\u589e\u3001\u90d1\u601d\u9f50\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4f4f\u623f\u4e0e\u5e78\u798f\u611f\uff1a\u4ece\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u503c\u3001\u4ea7\u6743\u7c7b\u578b\u548c\u5165\u5e02\u65f6\u95f4\u89c6\u89d2\u7684\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u63a2\u7d22\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5b59\u79c0\u6797\u3001\u5468\u98de\u821f\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u571f\u5730\u8d22\u653f\u4e0e\u5206\u7a0e\u5236\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b9e\u8bc1\u89e3\u91ca\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u7530\u4e30\u3001\u5b59\u6b63\u6615\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u9752\u5e74\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u8bc4\u4ef7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u9752\u5e74\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u738b\u4e09\u610f\u3001\u96f7\u6d2a\uff0c2009\uff0c\u300a\u519c\u6c11\u201c\u79cd\u623f\u201d\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u7406\u6027\u5bf9W\u5e02S\u6751\u7684\u4e2a\u6848\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u300b\u7b2c6\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u738b\u6653\u83b9\u3001\u7f57\u6559\u8bb2\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u751f\u6d3b\u5883\u9047\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9CSS2024\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u56fd\u5bb6\u884c\u653f\u5b66\u9662\u5b66\u62a5\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5c09\u5efa\u6587\u3001\u8c22\u9547\u8363\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u707e\u540e\u91cd\u5efa\u4e2d\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u6c76\u5ddd\u5730\u9707\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u53d1\u73b0\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5434\u749f\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u5e72\u9884\u503e\u5411\u7684\u5ea6\u91cf\u4e0e\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u8d22\u8d38\u7ecf\u6d4e\u300b\u7b2c12\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u8c22\u5b87\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\uff1a\u7406\u5ff5\u4e0e\u5b9e\u8df5\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u300b\u7b2c2\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u6768\u5b8f\u661f\u3001\u8d75\u9f0e\u65b0\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u7ee9\u6548\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5947\u8ff9\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5b66\u6d77\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u4e8e\u6587\u8d85\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc9\u6c42\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u5e72\u9884\u4e0e\u5730\u533a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u300b\u7b2c5\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u66fe\u660e\u3001\u4efb\u660c\u88d5\uff0c2012\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u7ee9\u664b\u5347\u6548\u5e94\u4e0e\u5730\u65b9\u8d22\u653f\u6c11\u751f\u652f\u51fa\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u516c\u5171\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u62a5\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5f20\u6d69\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u623f\u4ea7\u4ef7\u503c\u53d8\u52a8\u3001\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u4e0e\u8d22\u5bcc\u6548\u5e94\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u2014\u2014\u6765\u81ea\u5fae\u89c2\u5bb6\u5ead\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c8\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5f20\u6b22\u7b49\uff0c2008\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u5e9c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u4e0e\u6c11\u4f17\u671f\u671b\u7ba1\u7406\u521d\u63a2\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u6c76\u5ddd\u5730\u9707\u707e\u533a\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5f53\u4ee3\u4e16\u754c\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u300b\u7b2c6\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5f20\u8389\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u4f01\u5408\u8c0b\u4e0b\u7684\u571f\u5730\u51fa\u8ba9\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e16\u754c\u300b\u7b2c12\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5f20\u7ffc\uff0c2008\uff0c\u300a\u5f53\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u5c42\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6001\u5ea6\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u8d75\u9f0e\u65b0\uff0c2012\uff0c\u300a\u201c\u5929\u547d\u89c2\u201d\u53ca\u653f\u7ee9\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u5728\u53e4\u4ee3\u548c\u5f53\u4ee3\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f53\u73b0\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u793e\u4f1a\u4f53\u5236\u6bd4\u8f83\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u8d75\u6276\u626c\u7b49\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u571f\u5730\u8d22\u653f\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce2\u52a8\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c12\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u8d75\u6656\uff0c2010\uff0c\u300a\u6211\u56fd\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u8003\u6838\u6307\u6807\u8981\u7d20\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u5357\u4eac\u5e08\u5927\u5b66\u62a5\uff08\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7248\uff09\u300b\u7b2c6\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u6298\u6653\u53f6\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u53bf\u57df\u653f\u5e9c\u6cbb\u7406\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u65b0\u53d8\u5316\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u90d1\u65b9\u8f89\u3001\u5c1a\u864e\u5e73\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6cd5\u6cbb\u653f\u5e9c\u5efa\u8bbe\u8fdb\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee9\u6548\u8bc4\u4ef7\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u90d1\u65b9\u8f89\u7b49\uff0c2011\uff0c\u300a\u653f\u5e9c\u6574\u4f53\u7ee9\u6548\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff1a\u7406\u8bba\u5047\u8bf4\u53ca\u5176\u5b9e\u8bc1\u68c0\u9a8c\u2014\u2014\u4ee52008\u5e74\u5ea6\u5e7f\u4e1c\u7701\u4e3a\u4f8b\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u516c\u5171\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u62a5\u300b\u7b2c3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5468\u9ece\u5b89\uff0c2008\uff0c\u300a\u8f6c\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\uff1a\u5b98\u5458\u6fc0\u52b1\u4e0e\u6cbb\u7406\u300b\uff0c\u4e0a\u6d77\uff1a\u683c\u81f4\u51fa\u7248\u793e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5468\u9ece\u5b89\uff0c2007\uff0c\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5730\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u664b\u5347\u9526\u6807\u8d5b\u6a21\u5f0f\u7814\u7a76\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u7b2c7\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5468\u957f\u57ce\u3001\u5f90\u9e4f\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u5730\u4f4d\u4e0e\u751f\u6d3b\u4f53\u9a8c\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u4e2d\u56fd\u6751\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u4e3a\u4f8b\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u56fd\u5bb6\u884c\u653f\u5b66\u9662\u5b66\u62a5\u300b\u7b2c4\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u6731\u56fd\u949f\u3001\u989c\u8272\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u63a7\u65b0\u653f\u80fd\u591f\u5b9e\u73b0\u201c\u5c45\u8005\u6709\u5176\u5c4b\u201d\u5417\uff1f\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a8\u6001\u4e00\u822c\u5747\u8861\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u5b63\u520a\uff09\u300b\u7b2c1\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u5de6\u7fd4\u3001\u6bb7\u9192\u6c11\uff0c2024\uff0c\u300a\u571f\u5730\u4e00\u7ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5784\u65ad\u4e0e\u5730\u65b9\u516c\u5171\u54c1\u4f9b\u7ed9\u300b\uff0c\u8f7d\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff08\u5b63\u520a\uff09\u300b\u7b2c2\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Cui, E. et al., 2024, \u201cHow Do Land Takings Affect Political Trust in Rural China?\u201d Political Studies, Vol. 63, pp. 91-109.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Cusack, T. R., 1999, \u201cThe Shaping of Popular Satisfaction with Government and Regime Performance in Germany,\u201d British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 29, Iss. 4, pp. 641-672.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 DeHoog, R. H. et al., 1990, \u201cCitizen Satisfaction with Local Governance: A Test of Individual, Jurisdictional, and City-specific Explanations,\u201d The Journal of Politics, Vol. 52, No. 3, pp. 807-837.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Gilley, B., 2008, \u201cLegitimacy and Institutional Change: the Case of China,\u201d Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 41, No. 3, pp. 259-284.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Han, L. and J. K. Kung, 2024, \u201cFiscal Incentives and Policy Choices of Local Governments: Evidence from China,\u201d Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 116, pp. 89-104.<\/p>\n

Hetherington, Marc J. and Thomas J. Rudolph, 2008,<\/p>\n

\u201cPriming, Performance, and the Dynamics of Political Trust,\u201d The Journal of Politics, Vol. 70, No. 2, pp. 498-512.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 James, O., 2009, \u201cEvaluating the Expectations Disconfirmation and Expectations Anchoring Approaches to Citizen Satisfaction with Local Public Services,\u201d Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, Vol. 19, Iss. 1, pp. 107-123.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Mary A. Stegmaier, 2000, \u201cEconomic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes,\u201d Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 183-219.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Li, B. and G. Mayraz, 2024, \u201cInfrastructure Spending in China Increases Trust in Local Government,\u201d Social Indicators Research, Vol. 132, pp. 341-356.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Li, L., 2024, \u201cReassessing Trust in the Central Government: Evidence from Five National Surveys,\u201d The China Quarterly, Vol. 225, pp. 100-121.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Li, Z. and X. Wu, 2024, \u201cSocial Policy and Political Trust: Evidence from the New Rural Pension Scheme in China,\u201d The China Quarterly, Vol. 235, pp. 644-668.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Morgeson, F. V., 2024, \u201cExpectations, Disconfirmation, and Citizen Satisfaction with the US Federal Government: Testing and Expanding the Model,\u201d Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, Vol. 23, Iss. 2, pp. 289-305.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Salehi, K. H., and A. Heydari, 2012, \u201cMeasuring Villagers” Satisfaction about Performance of Village Government at Shemiranat in Large Lavasan: a Scope for the Use of Models,\u201d International Journal of Bio-Resource & Stress Management, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 119-121.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Van Ryzin, G. G., 2007, \u201cPieces of a Puzzle: Linking Government Performance, Citizen Satisfaction, and Trust,\u201d Public Performance & Management Review, Vol. 30, Iss. 4, pp. 521-535.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Van Ryzin, G. G., 2004, \u201cExpectations, Performance, and Citizen Satisfaction with Urban Services,\u201d Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol. 23, Iss. 3, pp. 433-448.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Wang, Y. and E. C. Hui, 2024, \u201cAre Local Governments Maximizing Land Revenue? Evidence from China,\u201d China Economic Review, Vol. 43, pp. 196-215.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Wang, Z., 2010, \u201cCitizens” Satisfaction with Government Performance in Six Asian-Pacific Giants,\u201d Japanese Journal of Political Science, Vol. 11, Iss. 1, pp. 51-75.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Wang, Z., 2005, \u201cBefore the Emergence of Critical Citizens: Economic Development and Political Trust in China,\u201d International Review of Sociology, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp.155-171.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Yang, H. and D. Zhao, 2024, \u201cPerformance Legitimacy, State Autonomy and China”s Economic Miracle,\u201d Journal of Contemporary China, Vol. 24, No. 91, pp. 64-82.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Yang, Q. and W. Tang, 2010, \u201cExploring the Sources of Institutional Trust in China: Culture, Mobilization, or Performance,\u201d Asian Politics and Policy, Vol. 2, Iss. 3, pp. 415-436.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 Zhao, D., 2009, \u201cThe Mandate of Heaven and Performance Legitimation in Historical and Contemporary China,\u201d American Behavioral Scientist, Vol. 53, No. 3, pp. 416-433.<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u3010\u6ce8\u91ca\u3011<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u2460CFPS\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u5c45\u6751\u95ee\u5377\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u4e86\u89e3\u201c\u6751\u201d\uff08\u519c\u6751\u793e\u533a\uff09\u6216\u8005\u201c\u5c45\u201d\uff08\u57ce\u5e02\u793e\u533a\uff09\u7684\u8bbe\u65bd\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5728\u8bbf\u95ee\u6267\u884c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u8981\u6c42\u8bbf\u95ee\u6751\uff0f\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e3b\u6301\u65e5\u5e38\u7ba1\u7406\u670d\u52a1\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u6751\uff0f\u5c45\u59d4\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0c\u4f1a\u8ba1\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u793e\u533a\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\u5982\u679c\u56e0\u5176\u5de5\u4f5c\u5185\u5bb9\u6216\u8005\u670d\u52a1\u5e74\u9650\u800c\u5145\u5206\u4e86\u89e3\u793e\u533a\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u4e3a\u8bbf\u95ee\u5bf9\u8c61\u3002CFPS\u9879\u76ee\u57282010\u5e74\u5bf9\u62bd\u4e2d\u7684649\u4e2a\u5c45\u6751\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5c45\u6751\u95ee\u5377\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u5e76\u57282024\u5e74\u5bf9\u8fd9649\u4e2a\u5c45\u6751\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u56de\u8bbf\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u8be6\u60c5\u53c2\u89c1\uff1a\u8c22\u5b87\u7b49\uff1a\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u7528\u6237\u624b\u518c\uff08\u7b2c3\u7248\uff09\u300b\uff0c\u7b2c23\u201425\u9875\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7f51\u7ad9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u2461\u7531\u4e8e\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5c06\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u53bf\u5e02GDP\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7279\u6b8a\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u4ec5\u5bf9\u90e8\u5206\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5f00\u653e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6a21\u7ccaGDP\u503c\u80fd\u591f\u4ee3\u8868\u53bf\u5e02\u7684\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u4f46\u662f\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u53c8\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u5bf9\u5e94\u5230\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u53bf\u5e02\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u62a4\u6837\u672c\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u6a21\u7ccaGDP\u503c\u8be6\u60c5\u53c2\u89c1\uff1a\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8ffd\u8e2a\u8c03\u67e5\u533a\u53bf\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u6a21\u7cca\u65b9\u6cd5\u300b\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7f51\u7ad9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000 \u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u7b80\u4ecb\u3011 \u9648\u4f1f\uff1a\u4e0a\u6d77\u5927\u5b66\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u9662\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u7cfb\uff08Chen Wei, Department of Sociology, School of Sociology and Political Science, Shanghai University\uff09<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000 \u3010\u5185\u5bb9\u63d0\u8981\u3011 \u672c\u6587\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f4f\u623f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u57ce\u9547\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u83b7 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":240308,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-239855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gonglue"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=239855"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":240211,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239855\/revisions\/240211"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/240308"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=239855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=239855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.youtupa.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=239855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}